Servette 1-0 Yverdon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
23%
4.01
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.63
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 23% vs market 19.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.79
1/2
3%
66.0
1/X
6%
16.75
X/1
21%
3.68
X/2
7%
13.0
X/X
11%
6.03
2/1
10%
22.15
2/2
10%
10.1
2/X
5%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.6pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.3pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Servette EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Yverdon EU Bookmakers 19%
-14% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.83/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.54
-16% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
25.1 Crosses 12.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Servette
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Yverdon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.84 xG 1.74
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
369 Passes 235
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 4-1 HT 1-0 Servette Servette İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Servette
1-0
AWAY Yverdon
2.13 xG 0.13
61% Ball Possession 39%
27 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
373 Passes 209
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
44 Box Touches 11
35 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Servette vs Yverdon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette nicked a narrow win over Yverdon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Servette as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Servette had 61% of the ball to Yverdon's 39%, shots finished 27-7, expected goals 2.13 to 0.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Servette's control.

What was the final score of Servette vs Yverdon?

Servette 1-0 Yverdon in the Switzerland - Super League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Servette vs Yverdon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Servette 58%, draw 22%, Yverdon 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Servette), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Servette) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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