Stade Ouchy 1-3 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 27 Jan 2024

Stade Ouchy
1-3 HT 0-2
Winterthur
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2023/2024

Stade Ouchy vs Winterthur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.5
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
27%
3.31
6+ Goals
12%
12.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.66
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
9%
12.45
X/1
15%
5.63
X/2
10%
5.65
X/X
11%
4.62
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
27.5
2/2
20%
3.67
2/X
6%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stade Ouchy v Winterthur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 39%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.68/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.25
+14% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
19.3 Crosses 20.6
4.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Stade Ouchy vs Winterthur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Ouchy
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Winterthur
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.41 xG 1.45
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
304 Passes 215
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 2-1 HT 2-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV
02.04.2022 Winterthur Winterthur 2-1 HT 0-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
04.03.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 3-1 HT 2-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV2
05.11.2021 Winterthur Winterthur 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
23.07.2021 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-1 HT 1-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV2
16.04.2021 Winterthur Winterthur 1-1 HT 1-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2

Stade Ouchy 1-3 Winterthur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Ouchy
1-3
AWAY Winterthur
1.62 xG 2.34
67% Ball Possession 33%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
542 Passes 217
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stade Ouchy vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winterthur got the better of Stade Ouchy 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Winterthur made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Stade Ouchy had 67% of the ball to Winterthur's 33%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.62 to 2.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Winterthur led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stade Ouchy and 1.17 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Stade Ouchy vs Winterthur?

Stade Ouchy 1-3 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Ouchy vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 39%, draw 26%, Winterthur 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stade Ouchy) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Ouchy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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