Pescara 2-2 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.94
6+ Goals
9%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 34% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.7pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pescara EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +3%
1.41/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.22
+15% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pescara
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Carrarese
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Carrarese Carrarese 1-0 HT 1-0 Pescara Pescara İTC
01.05.2022 Pescara Pescara 2-2 HT 1-2 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
02.02.2022 Pescara Pescara 1-1 HT 1-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
05.09.2021 Carrarese Carrarese 1-2 HT 1-1 Pescara Pescara İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pescara
2-2
AWAY Carrarese
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Pescara vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pescara and Carrarese shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pescara had 58% of the ball to Carrarese's 42%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Pescara and 1.25 for Carrarese.

What was the final score of Pescara vs Carrarese?

Pescara 2-2 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie C on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pescara vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pescara 37%, draw 31%, Carrarese 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pescara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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