Kaiserslautern 3-2 Osnabrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.75
2-3 Goals
44%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
7.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.11
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
15%
4.18
X/2
8%
9.73
X/X
12%
6.0
2/1
6%
20.6
2/2
11%
6.74
2/X
7%
14.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 6% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.50/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.73
-11% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 71%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
24.7 Crosses 16.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaiserslautern
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Osnabrück
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.41 xG 1.70
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
357 Passes 208
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
32 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-2 HT 2-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
05.03.2022 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-1 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL3
25.09.2021 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 2-0 HT 2-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
24.03.2019 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-3 HT 0-2 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
06.10.2018 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-0 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL3
13.08.2010 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-1 HT 1-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaiserslautern
3-2
AWAY Osnabrück
0.87 xG 1.13
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 6
291 Passes 297
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kaiserslautern vs Osnabrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaiserslautern nicked a narrow win over Osnabrück 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kaiserslautern as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kaiserslautern had 49% of the ball to Osnabrück's 51%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 0.87 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kaiserslautern and 1.33 for Osnabrück.

What was the final score of Kaiserslautern vs Osnabrück?

Kaiserslautern 3-2 Osnabrück in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaiserslautern vs Osnabrück?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaiserslautern win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kaiserslautern 51%, draw 24%, Osnabrück 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kaiserslautern), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kaiserslautern) ✓ Over 2.5
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