St. Pauli vs Hertha Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Pauli v Hertha Berlin — Team-Based Signals
St. Pauli vs Hertha Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
St. Pauli
AL2
2-2
HT 2-1
Hertha Berlin
HAZ
0-2
HT 0-1
Hertha Berlin
AFK
2-3
HT 0-1
Hertha Berlin
AL2
1-0
HT 0-0
St. Pauli
AL2
2-2
HT 1-2
Hertha Berlin
AFK
St. Pauli 2-0 Hertha Berlin — Actual Match Statistics
St. Pauli got the better of Hertha Berlin 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had St. Pauli as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, St. Pauli had 58% of the ball to Hertha Berlin's 42%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.05 to 0.36.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Pauli and 1.83 for Hertha Berlin.
What was the final score of St. Pauli vs Hertha Berlin?
St. Pauli 2-0 Hertha Berlin in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Pauli vs Hertha Berlin?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli 50%, draw 23%, Hertha Berlin 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pauli) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.