East Bengal 1-3 ATK Mohun Bagan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 10 Mar 2024

East Bengal
1-3 HT 0-3
ATK Mohun Bagan
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
India - Super League – 2025/2026

East Bengal vs ATK Mohun Bagan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.5
6+ Goals
9%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
15%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

East Bengal v ATK Mohun Bagan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Bengal EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 52%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.95/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.84
+7% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +14%
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
229 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
15.3 Crosses 17.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

East Bengal vs ATK Mohun Bagan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Bengal
1W-1D-4L
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.78 xG 1.58
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
227 Passes 336
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.02.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-2 HT 1-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
19.01.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-3 HT 1-0 East Bengal East Bengal HINSK
25.02.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 0-2 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
29.10.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-0 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
29.01.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 3-1 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
27.11.2021 East Bengal East Bengal 0-3 HT 0-3 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
POST-MATCH East Bengal vs ATK Mohun Bagan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan beat East Bengal 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for East Bengal and 2.17 for ATK Mohun Bagan.

What was the final score of East Bengal vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

East Bengal 1-3 ATK Mohun Bagan in the India - Super League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Bengal vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

Before kick-off our model rated an ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split East Bengal 28%, draw 26%, ATK Mohun Bagan 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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