Santa Fe 2-0 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 10 Mar 2024

Santa Fe
2-0 HT 1-0
Fortaleza CEIF
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Santa Fe vs Fortaleza CEIF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.0pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.5pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Fe v Fortaleza CEIF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.22/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.23
-4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.3 Crosses 22.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0

Santa Fe 2-0 Fortaleza CEIF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
2-0
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
195 Passes 298
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Fortaleza CEIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe got the better of Fortaleza CEIF 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Santa Fe had 42% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 58%, shots finished 6-13.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Santa Fe 2-0 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 43%, draw 29%, Fortaleza CEIF 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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