Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Deportes Tolima v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportes Tolima 2-2 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima and Independiente Medellin shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
We leaned Deportes Tolima at 50% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, possession split 57% to 43% in Deportes Tolima's favour, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.36 to 0.51.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Deportes Tolima against 1.00 for Independiente Medellin.
Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin Result & Final Score
Deportes Tolima 2 - 2 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 50%, draw 29%, Independiente Medellin 21%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.