Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Independiente Medellin
KOL
1-1
HT 1-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Deportes Tolima
KOLK
1-3
HT 1-3
Independiente Medellin
KOLK
1-1
HT 0-1
Independiente Medellin
KOL
Deportes Tolima 2-2 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima and Independiente Medellin shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Deportes Tolima at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 57% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 43%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.36 to 0.51.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.00 for Independiente Medellin.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin?
Deportes Tolima 2-2 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 46%, draw 28%, Independiente Medellin 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.