Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Lima v Sporting Cristal — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Cristal
PER
3-0
Alianza Lima
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
0-1
HT 0-1
Sporting Cristal
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
1-0
HT 1-0
Sporting Cristal
PER
Alianza Lima 1-2 Sporting Cristal — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Cristal squeezed past Alianza Lima 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Alianza Lima at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Alianza Lima had 58% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 42%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.53 to 1.12 — on chances, Alianza Lima could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Alianza Lima and 0.67 for Sporting Cristal.
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal?
Alianza Lima 1-2 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 43%, draw 26%, Sporting Cristal 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.