Sport Huancayo 2-2 Union Comercio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
67%
-5.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.9pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.1pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Comercio EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.72/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/2.08
+3% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 72%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
23.8 Crosses 10.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Huancayo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Union Comercio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.04 xG 1.41
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
349 Passes 237
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2023 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-1 HT 0-1 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
12.03.2023 Union Comercio Union Comercio 2-0 HT 1-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
10.11.2019 Union Comercio Union Comercio 1-2 HT 1-1 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
28.05.2019 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 3-1 HT 1-1 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
24.10.2018 Union Comercio Union Comercio 4-2 HT 2-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
28.07.2018 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Huancayo
2-2
AWAY Union Comercio
1.11 xG 1.37
72% Ball Possession 28%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
458 Passes 144
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 7
25 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sport Huancayo vs Union Comercio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Huancayo and Union Comercio couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sport Huancayo at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sport Huancayo had 72% of the ball to Union Comercio's 28%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.11 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sport Huancayo and 1.50 for Union Comercio.

What was the final score of Sport Huancayo vs Union Comercio?

Sport Huancayo 2-2 Union Comercio in the Peru - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Huancayo vs Union Comercio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Huancayo win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Sport Huancayo 61%, draw 22%, Union Comercio 17%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sport Huancayo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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