Carlos Manucci Trujillo 2-1 Cultural San — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-10.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural San EU Bookmakers 26%
-24% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.60/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.78
-44% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / -54%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
27.7 Crosses 24.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo
2-1
AWAY Cultural San
0.98 xG 0.87
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
273 Passes 220
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Cultural San
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carlos Manucci Trujillo edged past Cultural San 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Carlos Manucci Trujillo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Carlos Manucci Trujillo had 54% of the ball to Cultural San's 46%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 0.98 to 0.87.

What was the final score of Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Cultural San?

Carlos Manucci Trujillo 2-1 Cultural San in the Peru - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Cultural San?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carlos Manucci Trujillo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Carlos Manucci Trujillo 42%, draw 26%, Cultural San 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carlos Manucci Trujillo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carlos Manucci Trujillo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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