Amed Sportif 5-1 Arnavutköy Belediye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
68%
-5.1pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.6pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amed Sportif EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.93/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.76
-9% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amed Sportif
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.10.2023 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye 1-1 HT 0-0 Amed Sportif S2-K
22.01.2023 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye 1-0 HT 0-0 Amed Sportif S2-B
04.09.2022 Amed Sportif 2-1 HT 0-1 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye T2L-K
POST-MATCH Amed Sportif vs Arnavutköy Belediye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amed Sportif swept aside Arnavutköy Belediye 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Amed Sportif as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Amed Sportif and 1.00 for Arnavutköy Belediye.

What was the final score of Amed Sportif vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Amed Sportif 5-1 Arnavutköy Belediye in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amed Sportif vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amed Sportif win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Amed Sportif 63%, draw 20%, Arnavutköy Belediye 16%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amed Sportif), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amed Sportif) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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