10/03/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Denizlispor vs Somaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
23%
Draw
28%
38%
Away Win
34%
57%
Under 2.5
56%
43%
Over 2.5
44%
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
58%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Denizlispor v Somaspor — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Denizlispor
EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY
Somaspor
EU Bookmakers 37%
+21% /
+21%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+6% /
+6%
1.40/0.93
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.18/1.10
+6%
/
+13%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+6%
/
+11%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
372 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
291 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.4
Yellow Cards
2.1
Denizlispor vs Somaspor Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Denizlispor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Somaspor
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
50%
Ball Possession
50%
10
Total Shots
16
1
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
6
4
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
28.10.2023
Somaspor
1-0
HT 1-0
Denizlispor
S2-K
1-0
HT 1-0
Denizlispor
S2-K
POST-MATCH
Denizlispor vs Somaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Denizlispor squeezed past Somaspor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Denizlispor found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Denizlispor vs Somaspor?
Denizlispor 2-1 Somaspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Denizlispor vs Somaspor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Denizlispor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Denizlispor 39%, draw 23%, Somaspor 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Denizlispor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Denizlispor)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
S2-K
More Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup
10 Mar 2024