Denizlispor 2-1 Somaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.8pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.7pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denizlispor EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Somaspor EU Bookmakers 37%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.40/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.10
+6% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denizlispor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Somaspor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2023 Somaspor Somaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Denizlispor Denizlispor S2-K
POST-MATCH Denizlispor vs Somaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denizlispor squeezed past Somaspor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Denizlispor found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Denizlispor vs Somaspor?

Denizlispor 2-1 Somaspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denizlispor vs Somaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Denizlispor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Denizlispor 39%, draw 23%, Somaspor 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Denizlispor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Denizlispor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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