Düzcespor 0-1 GMG Kastamonuspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+1.4pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.1pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-7.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Düzcespor EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 57%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.74/3.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-24% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Düzcespor
0W-1D-0L
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.10.2023 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Düzcespor Düzcespor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Düzcespor
0-1
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
51% Ball Possession 49%
3 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Düzcespor vs GMG Kastamonuspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GMG Kastamonuspor edged past Düzcespor 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had GMG Kastamonuspor as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Düzcespor had 51% of the ball to GMG Kastamonuspor's 49%, shots finished 3-6.

What was the final score of Düzcespor vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Düzcespor 0-1 GMG Kastamonuspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Düzcespor vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an GMG Kastamonuspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Düzcespor 23%, draw 32%, GMG Kastamonuspor 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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