Hemel Hempstead Town 3-1 AFC Hornchurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.67
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
18.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.59/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.70
+14% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2024 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 1-0 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
3-1
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town got the better of AFC Hornchurch 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hemel Hempstead Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 58% of the ball to AFC Hornchurch's 42%, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Hornchurch?

Hemel Hempstead Town 3-1 AFC Hornchurch in the England - Conference on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Hornchurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 42%, draw 28%, AFC Hornchurch 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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