Aveley 1-2 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
43%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
9%
8.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+6.9pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
43%
Away Win
54%
-11.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.2pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aveley EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 58%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.94/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.72
-20% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -45%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aveley
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Worthing
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
31% Ball Possession 69%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.11.2024 Worthing Worthing 2-1 HT 1-0 Aveley Aveley İCON
03.02.2024 Aveley Aveley 0-3 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
19.08.2023 Worthing Worthing 1-2 HT 0-2 Aveley Aveley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aveley
1-2
AWAY Worthing
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Aveley vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing nicked a narrow win over Aveley 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Worthing as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Aveley had 33% of the ball to Worthing's 67%, shots finished 5-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Worthing led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aveley and 2.00 for Worthing.

What was the final score of Aveley vs Worthing?

Aveley 1-2 Worthing in the England - Conference on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aveley vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aveley 29%, draw 28%, Worthing 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Worthing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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