Chelmsford City 2-1 St. Albans City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.9
Over 2.5
39%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 34% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
49%
+12.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
51%
-12.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.5pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -9%
1.35/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.30
-4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
0W-2D-4L
AWAY St. Albans City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2024 St. Albans City St. Albans City 1-1 HT 1-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
16.12.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 2-1 HT 1-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
23.09.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-2 HT 0-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
02.05.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
10.12.2022 St. Albans City St. Albans City 3-0 HT 1-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
06.08.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelmsford City
2-1
AWAY St. Albans City
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs St. Albans City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City nicked a narrow win over St. Albans City 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Chelmsford City made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chelmsford City had 42% of the ball to St. Albans City's 58%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Albans City led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chelmsford City and 1.67 for St. Albans City.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs St. Albans City?

Chelmsford City 2-1 St. Albans City in the England - Conference on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs St. Albans City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 40%, draw 27%, St. Albans City 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelmsford City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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