St. Albans City 1-1 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.97
Over 2.5
40%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 32% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
47%
+13.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
53%
-13.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.5pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 39%
-13% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +16%
1.40/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.04
+0% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Chelmsford City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 2-1 HT 1-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
23.09.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-2 HT 0-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
02.05.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
10.12.2022 St. Albans City St. Albans City 3-0 HT 1-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
06.08.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
15.04.2022 St. Albans City St. Albans City 0-3 HT 0-2 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Albans City
1-1
AWAY Chelmsford City
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St. Albans City vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Albans City and Chelmsford City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, St. Albans City had 52% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 48%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Albans City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for St. Albans City and 0.83 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of St. Albans City vs Chelmsford City?

St. Albans City 1-1 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans City vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Albans City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split St. Albans City 36%, draw 28%, Chelmsford City 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (St. Albans City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Albans City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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