West Ham United vs Newcastle United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
West Ham United v Newcastle United — Team-Based Signals
West Ham United vs Newcastle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Newcastle United
İNP
1-5
HT 1-2
Newcastle United
İNP
1-1
HT 1-1
West Ham United
İNP
1-1
HT 1-1
Newcastle United
İNP
West Ham United 0-1 Newcastle United — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle United nicked a narrow win over West Ham United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newcastle United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, West Ham United had 51% of the ball to Newcastle United's 49%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.72 to 1.40.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for West Ham United and 2.17 for Newcastle United.
What was the final score of West Ham United vs Newcastle United?
West Ham United 0-1 Newcastle United in the England - Premier League on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Newcastle United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 32%, draw 25%, Newcastle United 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.