Espanyol 1-1 Girona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 10 Mar 2025

Espanyol
1-1 HT 0-0
Girona
📅10/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Espanyol vs Girona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
33%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.29
6+ Goals
9%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.1
1/2
8%
30.0
1/X
10%
13.55
X/1 EV+ ✗
19%
6.65
X/2
15%
4.95
X/X
10%
3.91
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
10%
3.22
2/X
7%
12.95
Value flag · X/1 at 6.65 — our 19% vs market 11.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
29%
+10.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Espanyol v Girona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Girona EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.30/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.26
+12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
250 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
20.5 Crosses 19.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Espanyol vs Girona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Girona
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.38 xG 1.71
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 Passes 385
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.11.2024 Girona Girona 4-1 HT 4-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
27.07.2024 Espanyol Espanyol 0-0 HT 0-0 Girona Girona HAZ
01.04.2023 Girona Girona 2-1 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
07.01.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 2-2 HT 0-1 Girona Girona İS1
23.01.2021 Girona Girona 1-0 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS2
20.11.2020 Espanyol Espanyol 1-2 HT 1-0 Girona Girona İS2

Espanyol 1-1 Girona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol
1-1
AWAY Girona
0.24 xG 1.55
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
237 Passes 523
81% Pass Accuracy 91%
7 Box Touches 40
10 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Espanyol vs Girona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol and Girona shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Espanyol had 33% of the ball to Girona's 67%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.24 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Espanyol and 1.83 for Girona.

What was the final score of Espanyol vs Girona?

Espanyol 1-1 Girona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Girona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Espanyol win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 40%, draw 27%, Girona 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Espanyol), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Espanyol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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