Girona vs Espanyol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Girona v Espanyol — Team-Based Signals
Girona vs Espanyol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Espanyol
İS1
2-2
HT 0-1
Girona
İS1
1-0
HT 1-0
Espanyol
İS2
1-2
HT 1-0
Girona
İS2
1-2
HT 0-0
Espanyol
İS1
Girona 4-1 Espanyol — Actual Match Statistics
Girona ran out comfortable winners over Espanyol 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Girona as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Girona had 76% of the ball to Espanyol's 24%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 3.47 to 0.52.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Girona and 1.00 for Espanyol.
What was the final score of Girona vs Espanyol?
Girona 4-1 Espanyol in the Spain - Primera Liga on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Girona vs Espanyol?
Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Girona 54%, draw 27%, Espanyol 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Girona), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.