Las Palmas 2-3 Mallorca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
5.66
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.16
1/2
11%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.05
X/1
11%
5.39
X/2
16%
5.46
X/X
14%
3.5
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
10%
4.23
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.5pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.0pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.5pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Mallorca EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.06/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.91
+15% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
16.8 Crosses 21.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Mallorca
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.02 xG 1.19
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
401 Passes 262
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2024 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
12.08.2023 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 1-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
04.04.2021 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 0-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS2
10.01.2021 Mallorca Mallorca 0-1 HT 0-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
17.03.2019 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-2 HT 1-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS2
27.10.2018 Mallorca Mallorca 2-2 HT 2-2 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
2-3
AWAY Mallorca
1.21 xG 1.74
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
410 Passes 228
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Mallorca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mallorca squeezed past Las Palmas 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; Mallorca found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Las Palmas had 62% of the ball to Mallorca's 38%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.21 to 1.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mallorca led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Las Palmas and 1.17 for Mallorca.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Mallorca?

Las Palmas 2-3 Mallorca in the Spain - Primera Liga on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Mallorca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mallorca win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 32%, draw 31%, Mallorca 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mallorca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mallorca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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