Valencia 4-2 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.39
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.16
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.66
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
12%
13.75
X/1
11%
5.03
X/2
11%
5.97
X/X
12%
3.67
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
12%
4.67
2/X
5%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Valencia win — 38%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.2pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.2pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.26/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.28
-7% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +3%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 80%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
21.9 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Real Betis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.35 xG 1.16
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 Passes 391
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Valencia Valencia 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
01.10.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 3-0 HT 1-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
04.06.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 1-1 HT 1-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
10.11.2022 Valencia Valencia 3-0 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
10.05.2022 Valencia Valencia 0-3 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
23.04.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 1-1 HT 1-1 Valencia Valencia İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia
4-2
AWAY Real Betis
1.59 xG 1.27
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
333 Passes 356
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valencia vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valencia saw off Real Betis 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Valencia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valencia had 49% of the ball to Real Betis's 51%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.59 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Valencia and 1.67 for Real Betis.

What was the final score of Valencia vs Real Betis?

Valencia 4-2 Real Betis in the Spain - Primera Liga on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Valencia 38%, draw 30%, Real Betis 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valencia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valencia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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