Valencia 1-2 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 20 Apr 2024

Valencia
1-2 HT 0-1
Real Betis
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Valencia vs Real Betis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.24
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.51
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.06
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
17%
5.21
X/2 EV+ ✗
19%
5.3
X/X
14%
3.57
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
8%
4.15
2/X
8%
14.3
Value flag · X/2 at 5.3 — our 19% vs market 14.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Valencia win — 39%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valencia v Real Betis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.33/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.20
+18% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 75%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
17.7 Crosses 14.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Valencia vs Real Betis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Real Betis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.43 xG 1.28
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
285 Passes 393
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 3-0 HT 1-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
04.06.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 1-1 HT 1-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
10.11.2022 Valencia Valencia 3-0 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
10.05.2022 Valencia Valencia 0-3 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
23.04.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 1-1 HT 1-1 Valencia Valencia İSPK
27.10.2021 Real Betis Real Betis 4-1 HT 2-1 Valencia Valencia İS1

Valencia 1-2 Real Betis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia
1-2
AWAY Real Betis
1.14 xG 1.28
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
354 Passes 299
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 21
29 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valencia vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis squeezed past Valencia 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Real Betis found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valencia had 54% of the ball to Real Betis's 46%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.14 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Valencia and 2.00 for Real Betis.

What was the final score of Valencia vs Real Betis?

Valencia 1-2 Real Betis in the Spain - Primera Liga on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Valencia 39%, draw 29%, Real Betis 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valencia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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