Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celta Vigo v Las Palmas — Team-Based Signals
Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Celta Vigo
İS1
2-1
HT 0-0
Las Palmas
İS1
2-5
HT 0-2
Celta Vigo
İS1
3-1
HT 2-0
Las Palmas
İS1
3-3
HT 0-3
Celta Vigo
İS1
2-1
HT 1-1
Celta Vigo
İS1
Celta Vigo 4-1 Las Palmas — Actual Match Statistics
Celta Vigo cruised past Las Palmas 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Celta Vigo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Celta Vigo had 32% of the ball to Las Palmas's 68%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 3.99 to 0.98.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.83 for Las Palmas.
What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas?
Celta Vigo 4-1 Las Palmas in the Spain - Primera Liga on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo 47%, draw 27%, Las Palmas 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.