Celta Vigo 2-2 Barcelona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
47%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.38
2-3 Goals
37%
2.01
4-5 Goals
24%
2.72
6+ Goals
14%
6.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.25
1/2
6%
20.25
1/X
7%
14.35
X/1
9%
9.5
X/2
18%
4.4
X/X
10%
6.3
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.18
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+6.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-7.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona EU Bookmakers 58%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +14%
1.21/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.16
-18% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -22%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 468 · 83%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.2
18.6 Crosses 15.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Barcelona
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.12 xG 1.39
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
295 Passes 548
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.02.2024 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
23.09.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 3-2 HT 0-1 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
04.06.2023 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2-1 HT 1-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
09.10.2022 Barcelona Barcelona 1-0 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
10.05.2022 Barcelona Barcelona 3-1 HT 2-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
06.11.2021 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3-3 HT 0-3 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo
2-2
AWAY Barcelona
2.46 xG 1.81
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
295 Passes 491
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 8
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo vs Barcelona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo and Barcelona shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Barcelona at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Celta Vigo had 41% of the ball to Barcelona's 59%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.46 to 1.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Celta Vigo and 2.17 for Barcelona.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Barcelona?

Celta Vigo 2-2 Barcelona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo vs Barcelona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo 29%, draw 24%, Barcelona 47%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barcelona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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