Burgos 1-0 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.13
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
5.44
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.18
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.8
X/1
14%
4.66
X/2
13%
6.9
X/X
12%
3.48
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
12%
5.8
2/X
8%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.6pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.7pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-6.1pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 29%
+18% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.33/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.44
+8% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
19.8 Crosses 16.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Albacete
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.04 xG 1.70
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
295 Passes 273
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2024 Albacete Albacete 2-0 HT 2-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
28.01.2024 Burgos Burgos 2-1 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
16.09.2023 Albacete Albacete 2-1 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
19.02.2023 Burgos Burgos 1-1 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
20.08.2022 Albacete Albacete 0-0 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
28.04.2002 Albacete Albacete 2-1 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
1-0
AWAY Albacete
1.98 xG 1.95
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
232 Passes 341
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos edged past Albacete 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Burgos found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Burgos had 43% of the ball to Albacete's 57%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.98 to 1.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albacete led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Burgos and 1.33 for Albacete.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Albacete?

Burgos 1-0 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Burgos 39%, draw 30%, Albacete 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Burgos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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