Werder Bremen (K) 1-0 Hoffenheim (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.81/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.32
-9% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
243 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.9 Crosses 15.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.54 xG 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
263 Passes 314
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) ALKB
10.02.2024 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen (K)
1-0
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
0.97 xG 2.95
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 9
148 Passes 436
55% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Box Touches 27
4 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen (K) nicked a narrow win over Hoffenheim (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Werder Bremen (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Werder Bremen (K) had 32% of the ball to Hoffenheim (K)'s 68%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.97 to 2.95 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hoffenheim (K).

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hoffenheim (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Werder Bremen (K) and 1.00 for Hoffenheim (K).

What was the final score of Werder Bremen (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Werder Bremen (K) 1-0 Hoffenheim (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoffenheim (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen (K) 36%, draw 27%, Hoffenheim (K) 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim (K))
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