Neftçi PFK 1-1 Turan Tovuz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
39%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.2pp
39%
Away Win
29%
+9.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.3pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.01/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.14
-17% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftçi PFK
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Turan Tovuz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
21.12.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-1 HT 0-1 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
03.08.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 0-0 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
28.04.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 3-0 HT 2-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
24.02.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-1 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
10.12.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 3-2 HT 1-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
30.09.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 0-1 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
POST-MATCH Neftçi PFK vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftçi PFK and Turan Tovuz shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neftçi PFK had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Neftçi PFK and 0.67 for Turan Tovuz.

What was the final score of Neftçi PFK vs Turan Tovuz?

Neftçi PFK 1-1 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftçi PFK vs Turan Tovuz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Neftçi PFK 36%, draw 25%, Turan Tovuz 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Turan Tovuz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
10 Mar 2025
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