Sumqayıt 3-0 Kapaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 10 Mar 2025

Sumqayıt
3-0 HT 1-0
Kapaz
📅10/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2024/2025

Sumqayıt vs Kapaz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.2pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sumqayıt v Kapaz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapaz EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.00/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.18
-22% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0

Sumqayıt vs Kapaz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sumqayıt
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kapaz
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
The Meetings
20.12.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 0-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
04.05.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 1-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
01.03.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-3 HT 0-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
14.12.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 1-1 HT 1-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
08.10.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-0 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
29.04.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 0-1 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Sumqayıt vs Kapaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sumqayıt ran out comfortable winners over Kapaz 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Sumqayıt found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sumqayıt had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sumqayıt and 0.83 for Kapaz.

What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs Kapaz?

Sumqayıt 3-0 Kapaz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs Kapaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sumqayıt win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 38%, draw 30%, Kapaz 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sumqayıt), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sumqayıt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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