Excelsior vs Den Bosch Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Excelsior v Den Bosch — Team-Based Signals
Excelsior vs Den Bosch Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Excelsior
HOK
4-0
HT 1-0
Den Bosch
HOL2
0-5
HT 0-3
Excelsior
HOL2
4-4
HT 2-0
Den Bosch
HOL2
0-1
HT 0-0
Excelsior
HOL2
Excelsior 3-1 Den Bosch — Actual Match Statistics
Excelsior beat Den Bosch 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Excelsior had 53% of the ball to Den Bosch's 47%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.38 to 0.54.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Excelsior had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Excelsior and 0.83 for Den Bosch.
What was the final score of Excelsior vs Den Bosch?
Excelsior 3-1 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Excelsior vs Den Bosch?
Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 55%, draw 24%, Den Bosch 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Excelsior) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.