Cambuur 1-0 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 10 Mar 2025

Cambuur
1-0 HT 1-0
Dordrecht
📅10/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Cambuur vs Dordrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.6
6+ Goals
13%
6.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.67
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.5
X/1
13%
4.07
X/2 EV+ ✗
10%
14.1
X/X
10%
7.17
2/1
8%
19.8
2/2
8%
10.95
2/X
6%
18.8
Value flag · X/2 at 14.1 — our 10% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.0pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cambuur v Dordrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 18%
-16% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.93/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.68
+4% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
21.6 Crosses 13.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Cambuur vs Dordrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dordrecht
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.12 xG 1.19
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
341 Passes 256
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.08.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-0 HT 2-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
26.04.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 3-3 HT 2-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
19.12.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-3 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOK
06.10.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 5-2 HT 3-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
07.05.2021 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-1 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
11.10.2020 Cambuur Cambuur 5-0 HT 3-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2

Cambuur 1-0 Dordrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
1-0
AWAY Dordrecht
1.18 xG 0.42
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
354 Passes 188
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
24 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cambuur vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur edged past Dordrecht 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cambuur as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cambuur had 60% of the ball to Dordrecht's 40%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.18 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Cambuur and 1.67 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs Dordrecht?

Cambuur 1-0 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 54%, draw 23%, Dordrecht 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambuur) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cambuur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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