Atletico Grau 2-1 Cultural San — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-11.9pp
29%
Draw
20%
+8.3pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural San EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.50/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.37
+3% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
25.1 Crosses 13.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Grau
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Cultural San
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.17 xG 1.56
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 Passes 234
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 0
21.08.2024 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-1 HT 0-1 Cultural San Cultural San PER
15.03.2024 Cultural San Cultural San 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Grau
2-1
AWAY Cultural San
2.74 xG 0.41
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
381 Passes 254
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 12
30 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atletico Grau vs Cultural San
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Grau edged past Cultural San 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Grau as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Atletico Grau had 58% of the ball to Cultural San's 42%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 2.74 to 0.41 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Atletico Grau's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico Grau had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Grau and 0.50 for Cultural San.

What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs Cultural San?

Atletico Grau 2-1 Cultural San in the Peru - Premier League on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Grau vs Cultural San?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Grau win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 53%, draw 29%, Cultural San 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Grau) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Grau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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