Leixoes vs Tondela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Leixoes v Tondela — Team-Based Signals
Leixoes vs Tondela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Leixoes 0-1 Tondela — Actual Match Statistics
Tondela shaded a tight game against Leixoes 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 33% / 38% — and on the day Tondela made the difference. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (62%) landed.
On the day, Leixoes had 54% of the ball to Tondela's 46%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.62 to 2.36 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Tondela's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tondela led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Leixoes and 2.17 for Tondela.
Leixoes vs Tondela Result & Final Score
Leixoes 0 - 1 Tondela in the Portugal - Liga Portugal 2 on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Leixoes vs Tondela Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 29%, draw 33%, Tondela 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tondela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.