Tondela vs Leixoes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tondela v Leixoes — Team-Based Signals
Tondela vs Leixoes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 2-1
Leixoes
POR2
2-3
HT 0-1
Leixoes
POR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Tondela
POR2
3-1
HT 1-0
Leixoes
POK
2-2
HT 1-2
Tondela
POK
Tondela 2-1 Leixoes — Actual Match Statistics
Tondela nicked a narrow win over Leixoes 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Tondela found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Tondela had 58% of the ball to Leixoes's 42%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.08 to 1.58.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tondela had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Tondela and 1.67 for Leixoes.
What was the final score of Tondela vs Leixoes?
Tondela 2-1 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tondela vs Leixoes?
Before kick-off our model rated an Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Tondela 34%, draw 30%, Leixoes 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.