Beşiktaş 1-2 Gaziantep FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 10 Mar 2025

Beşiktaş
1-2 HT 1-0
Gaziantep FK
📅10/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Beşiktaş vs Gaziantep FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.32
2-3 Goals
35%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.83
6+ Goals
14%
8.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.69
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.85
X/1
21%
3.96
X/2
7%
14.15
X/X
6%
6.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
20.95
2/2
8%
11.5
2/X
8%
19.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.95 — our 13% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-9.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.9pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Beşiktaş v Gaziantep FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -14%
1.83/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.79
-10% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
432 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
21.8 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Beşiktaş vs Gaziantep FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gaziantep FK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.55 xG 1.04
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
411 Passes 232
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
11.03.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
30.10.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
25.12.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
14.01.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
21.08.2021 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL

Beşiktaş 1-2 Gaziantep FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
1-2
AWAY Gaziantep FK
1.77 xG 0.74
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
404 Passes 273
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
35 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 8
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Gaziantep FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK squeezed past Beşiktaş 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Beşiktaş carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 59% of the ball to Gaziantep FK's 41%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.77 to 0.74 — on chances, Beşiktaş could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Beşiktaş and 0.67 for Gaziantep FK.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Gaziantep FK?

Beşiktaş 1-2 Gaziantep FK in the Turkey - Super League on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Gaziantep FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 56%, draw 22%, Gaziantep FK 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beşiktaş) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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