Deportivo Tachira 2-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-12.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+9.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.3pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +14%
1.44/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.10
-2% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
21.7 Crosses 17.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Tachira
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.80 xG 0.62
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
302 Passes 342
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
21.04.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
25.06.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
20.05.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
23.07.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
30.04.2022 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 3-3 HT 2-2 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Tachira
2-1
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.88 xG 2.43
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
380 Passes 356
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Tachira vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Tachira nicked a narrow win over Deportivo La Guaira 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Tachira as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Tachira had 51% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 49%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.88 to 2.43 — on chances, Deportivo La Guaira could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Tachira and 0.67 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Deportivo Tachira vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Deportivo Tachira 2-1 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Tachira vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Tachira 41%, draw 31%, Deportivo La Guaira 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VEN More Venezuela - Premier League
10 Mar 2025
01:00 Portuguesa FC vs Caracas FC Analysis →
02:00 Metropolitanos vs Zamora Analysis →
03:30 Academia Puerto Cabello vs Rayo Zuliano Analysis →