Deportivo Tachira 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.37/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.14
+4% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
22.5 Crosses 17.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Tachira
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.80 xG 0.62
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
302 Passes 342
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
25.06.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
20.05.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
23.07.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
30.04.2022 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 3-3 HT 2-2 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
25.11.2021 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 4-2 HT 2-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Tachira
1-0
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Tachira vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Tachira squeezed past Deportivo La Guaira 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Tachira as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Tachira had 56% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 44%, shots finished 8-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Tachira and 1.00 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Deportivo Tachira vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Deportivo Tachira 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Tachira vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Tachira 50%, draw 30%, Deportivo La Guaira 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Tachira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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