Monagas 2-2 Hermanos Colmenarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.16
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
19%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.67
No
60%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
82%
-20.1pp
20%
Draw
13%
+7.2pp
19%
Away Win
6%
+12.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
33%
+6.8pp
60%
BTTS No
67%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 8%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
2.04/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.66
-7% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
395 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.2
Crosses 10.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.62 xG 1.44
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
329 Passes 251
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
04.09.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 2-1 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
05.03.2023 Monagas Monagas 2-1 HT 1-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
20.08.2022 Monagas Monagas 3-1 HT 1-1 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
03.04.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 2-0 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
2-2
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
1.16 xG 1.59
73% Ball Possession 27%
28 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
430 Passes 111
85% Pass Accuracy 59%
28 Box Touches 12
35 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Hermanos Colmenarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monagas and Hermanos Colmenarez shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Monagas at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Monagas had 73% of the ball to Hermanos Colmenarez's 27%, shots finished 28-10, expected goals 1.16 to 1.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hermanos Colmenarez led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Monagas and 1.40 for Hermanos Colmenarez.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Monagas 2-2 Hermanos Colmenarez in the Venezuela - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Monagas 61%, draw 20%, Hermanos Colmenarez 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Monagas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monagas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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