Portuguesa FC 2-3 Zamora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
28%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.6pp
35%
Draw
30%
+4.9pp
28%
Away Win
36%
-8.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamora EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.32/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.43
-16% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
23.4 Crosses 13.9
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portuguesa FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Zamora
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.02 xG 1.28
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
304 Passes 292
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
30.06.2024 Zamora Zamora 0-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VENK
13.06.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-2 Zamora Zamora VENK
20.04.2024 Zamora Zamora 0-2 HT 0-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
10.07.2023 Zamora Zamora 1-2 HT 1-2 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
06.05.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
18.07.2022 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-3 HT 1-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portuguesa FC
2-3
AWAY Zamora
0.91 xG 1.41
73% Ball Possession 27%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
303 Passes 89
83% Pass Accuracy 61%
11 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portuguesa FC vs Zamora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamora edged past Portuguesa FC 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 35% / 28%) promised a tight game; Zamora found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portuguesa FC had 73% of the ball to Zamora's 27%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.91 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portuguesa FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Portuguesa FC and 1.17 for Zamora.

What was the final score of Portuguesa FC vs Zamora?

Portuguesa FC 2-3 Zamora in the Venezuela - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa FC vs Zamora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portuguesa FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa FC 38%, draw 35%, Zamora 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Portuguesa FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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