Angostura FC 0-2 Metropolitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 40%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.00/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.42
+6% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
18.6 Crosses 17.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angostura FC
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.88 xG 1.48
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
174 Passes 315
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-0 HT 1-0 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
22.07.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-0 HT 0-0 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
24.04.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 3-2 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angostura FC
0-2
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.04 xG 1.86
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 11
10 Corners 5
203 Passes 191
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
11 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Angostura FC vs Metropolitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos beat Angostura FC 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Metropolitanos made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Angostura FC had 54% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 46%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.04 to 1.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Angostura FC and 1.67 for Metropolitanos.

What was the final score of Angostura FC vs Metropolitanos?

Angostura FC 0-2 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angostura FC vs Metropolitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Angostura FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Angostura FC 36%, draw 29%, Metropolitanos 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Angostura FC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Angostura FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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