Rayo Zuliano 2-1 Estudiantes De Merida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.65/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.25
+1% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
18.3 Crosses 23.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Zuliano
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.92 xG 1.32
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
193 Passes 353
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 HT 0-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
27.08.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 2-1 HT 1-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
11.03.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 HT 0-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Zuliano
2-1
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Rayo Zuliano vs Estudiantes De Merida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Zuliano nicked a narrow win over Estudiantes De Merida 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Rayo Zuliano made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rayo Zuliano had 46% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 54%, shots finished 15-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rayo Zuliano had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rayo Zuliano and 1.33 for Estudiantes De Merida.

What was the final score of Rayo Zuliano vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Rayo Zuliano 2-1 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Zuliano vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Zuliano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rayo Zuliano 38%, draw 30%, Estudiantes De Merida 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Zuliano) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Zuliano) ✗ Under 2.5
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