Eastbourne Borough 1-3 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Mar 2026

📅10/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
55%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.71
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
2.97
6+ Goals
12%
9.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+1.3pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.1pp
55%
Away Win
52%
+2.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 56%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.56/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.33/1.34
+28% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-2 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
13.12.2022 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-2 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
19.11.2022 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-1 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough FAK
16.08.2022 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-3 HT 1-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
26.02.2022 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-0 HT 1-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
23.10.2021 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 0-1 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastbourne Borough
1-3
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United beat Eastbourne Borough 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ebbsfleet United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Eastbourne Borough had 45% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 55%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 1.33 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Ebbsfleet United?

Eastbourne Borough 1-3 Ebbsfleet United in the England - Conference on 10/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 24%, draw 21%, Ebbsfleet United 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ebbsfleet United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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