Hemel Hempstead Town 3-2 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Mar 2026

📅10/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 31% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+2.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.6pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.7pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -3%
1.39/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.27
-16% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Chippenham Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.10.2025 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
08.02.2025 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 4-2 HT 1-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
19.10.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
06.01.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-3 HT 1-2 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
05.12.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
21.02.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town edged past Chippenham Town 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hemel Hempstead Town as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hemel Hempstead Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.67 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chippenham Town?

Hemel Hempstead Town 3-2 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 10/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 50%, draw 22%, Chippenham Town 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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