Chippenham Town 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.37
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 32% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-5.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 52%
-2% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.25/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.09
+4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
322 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 4-2 HT 1-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
19.10.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
06.01.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-3 HT 1-2 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
05.12.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
21.02.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
25.10.2022 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town nicked a narrow win over Chippenham Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hemel Hempstead Town as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hemel Hempstead Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chippenham Town and 1.50 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Chippenham Town 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 31%, draw 27%, Hemel Hempstead Town 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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