Ebbsfleet United 2-2 Eastbourne Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.38
6+ Goals
13%
13.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
45%
+4.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.09/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.42
-27% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2022 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-2 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
19.11.2022 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-1 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough FAK
16.08.2022 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-3 HT 1-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
26.02.2022 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-0 HT 1-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
23.10.2021 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 0-1 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
10.11.2020 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-1 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
2-2
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Eastbourne Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United and Eastbourne Borough shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ebbsfleet United at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 61% of the ball to Eastbourne Borough's 39%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 1.00 for Eastbourne Borough.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Eastbourne Borough?

Ebbsfleet United 2-2 Eastbourne Borough in the England - Conference on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Eastbourne Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 49%, draw 25%, Eastbourne Borough 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ebbsfleet United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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