Azul Claro Numazu 2-1 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 10 Apr 2024

📅10/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +6%
1.52/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.18
+19% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Sagamihara
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.08.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 3-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
02.04.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-0 HT 0-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
27.08.2022 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-1 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
12.03.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-0 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
09.12.2020 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-0 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
2-1
AWAY Sagamihara
75% Ball Possession 25%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Azul Claro Numazu vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Azul Claro Numazu edged past Sagamihara 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Azul Claro Numazu as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Azul Claro Numazu had 75% of the ball to Sagamihara's 25%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sagamihara led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Azul Claro Numazu and 0.60 for Sagamihara.

What was the final score of Azul Claro Numazu vs Sagamihara?

Azul Claro Numazu 2-1 Sagamihara in the Japan - J3 League on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azul Claro Numazu vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Azul Claro Numazu win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Azul Claro Numazu 44%, draw 29%, Sagamihara 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) ✗ Under 2.5
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