Grulla Morioka 2-1 Nara Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 10 Apr 2024

📅10/04/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.3pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Nara Club EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.34/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.90
+13% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grulla Morioka
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Nara Club
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.07.2023 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-1 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
16.04.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 1-0 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grulla Morioka
2-1
AWAY Nara Club
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grulla Morioka vs Nara Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grulla Morioka squeezed past Nara Club 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nara Club at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grulla Morioka had 42% of the ball to Nara Club's 58%, shots finished 14-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nara Club led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Grulla Morioka and 1.00 for Nara Club.

What was the final score of Grulla Morioka vs Nara Club?

Grulla Morioka 2-1 Nara Club in the Japan - J3 League on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grulla Morioka vs Nara Club?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nara Club win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Grulla Morioka 29%, draw 28%, Nara Club 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nara Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP3 More Japan - J3 League
10 Apr 2024
13:00 Parceiro Nagano vs Gainare Tottori Analysis →
13:00 Azul Claro Numazu vs Sagamihara Analysis →
13:00 Fukushima United vs Zweigen Kanazawa Analysis →
13:00 Osaka vs Vanraure Hachinohe Analysis →
13:00 FC Gifu vs Kataller Toyama Analysis →
13:00 Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Ryukyu Analysis →