Parceiro Nagano 0-2 Gainare Tottori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 10 Apr 2024

📅10/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.0pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.39/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.59
+1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gainare Tottori
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-3 HT 2-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
16.07.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-2 HT 1-1 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
06.11.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-2 HT 1-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
16.07.2022 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-1 HT 0-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
31.10.2021 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 3-2 HT 3-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
13.06.2021 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 1-8 HT 0-3 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
0-2
AWAY Gainare Tottori
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs Gainare Tottori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainare Tottori beat Parceiro Nagano 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Parceiro Nagano at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 51% of the ball to Gainare Tottori's 49%, shots finished 19-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parceiro Nagano had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Parceiro Nagano and 1.50 for Gainare Tottori.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Gainare Tottori?

Parceiro Nagano 0-2 Gainare Tottori in the Japan - J3 League on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Gainare Tottori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parceiro Nagano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 41%, draw 27%, Gainare Tottori 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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