Djurgarden 0-1 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 Pick
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.0pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.62/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.22
+30% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.1
12.3 Crosses 15.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Djurgarden
0-1
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.05 xG 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 8
376 Passes 219
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Djurgarden vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien squeezed past Djurgarden 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Rapid Wien made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Djurgarden had 60% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 40%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.05 to 1.17.

What was the final score of Djurgarden vs Rapid Wien?

Djurgarden 0-1 Rapid Wien in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 37%, draw 26%, Rapid Wien 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rapid Wien), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKL More UEFA Europa Conference League
10 Apr 2025
19:45 Legia Varşova vs Chelsea Analysis →
22:00 Celje vs Fiorentina Analysis →
22:00 Real Betis vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Analysis →